No. 2 Georgia @ No. 6 Alabama
10/10/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ABC · 62° · Wind 3 mph · Fog · 20–17 F
Our pick Georgia +2.5Covered by 5.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +3.0 → now -2.5 · total 52.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -2.5 | 51.5 |
| Bovada | -2.5 | 52.0 |
Alabama ML · Model 48% · Book 96% · value Georgia
Ratings matchup
Our pick Georgia +2.5OC Spread Alabama +0.5OC Total 55.03.1 pts vs market
GeorgiaPower ratingsAlabama
SP+Georgia by 6.2
27.1
20.9
FPIGeorgia by 0.9
25.4
24.5
Elo (pts)Georgia by 3.9
21.5
17.6
COREAlabama by 3.7
22.8
26.5
WEPAAlabama by 5.7
10.9
16.6
SRSAlabama by 2.7
20.9
23.6
Head-to-head
Last 4: SU 3-1 · ATS 0-0 from Alabama's side
Game recap
| Metric | Georgia | Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.403 | 0.443 |
| Explosiveness | 1.380 | 1.420 |
| Havoc | 0.213 | 0.177 |
| PPA | 0.227 | 0.203 |
| Field position | 84.300 | 70.900 |
Passing
- Keelon Russell · Alabama17/32 · 187 yds · 8.4 aDOT
- Gunner Stockton · Georgia18/22 · 249 yds · 9.9 aDOT