Option Country
← Week 5 board

Auburn @ No. 17 Tennessee

10/3/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ESPN · 75° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 14–24 F

Line movement

Home spread. Open -7.5 → now -6.5 · total 54.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-6.054.5
Bovada-6.554.0

Tennessee ML · Model 78% · Book 70% · value Tennessee

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

OC Spread Tennessee -9.0OC Total 51.02.5 pts vs market
AuburnPower ratingsTennessee
SP+Tennessee by 11.4
6.5
17.9
FPITennessee by 7.1
9.6
16.7
Elo (pts)Tennessee by 8.4
4.8
13.2
CORETennessee by 11.0
4.3
15.3
WEPATennessee by 4.9
4.5
9.4
SRSTennessee by 8.6
8.0
16.6

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from Tennessee's side

Game recap

MetricAuburnTennessee
Success rate0.3940.433
Explosiveness1.2101.020
Havoc0.2240.212
PPA-0.1200.089
Field position75.80067.100

Passing

  • Byrum Brown · Auburn22/33 · 159 yds · 6.0 aDOT
  • George MacIntyre · Tennessee8/10 · 86 yds · 6.3 aDOT
  • Faizon Brandon · Tennessee3/8 · 0 yds · 5.9 aDOT

Win probability