Option Country
← Week 4 board

No. 1 Texas @ No. 14 Tennessee

9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ABC · 71° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 20–17 F

Line movement

Home spread. Open +6.5 → now +5.5 · total 54.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+5.554.5
Bovada+5.554.5

Tennessee ML · Model 35% · Book 37%

Texas travels 889 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

OC Spread Tennessee +4.5OC Total 52.51.0 pts vs market
TexasPower ratingsTennessee
SP+Texas by 2.5
20.4
17.9
FPITexas by 7.3
24.0
16.7
Elo (pts)Texas by 4.3
17.4
13.2
CORETennessee by 6.3
9.0
15.3
WEPATennessee by 0.9
8.5
9.4
SRSTexas by 4.3
20.9
16.6

Head-to-head

Last 3: SU 1-2 · ATS 0-0 from Tennessee's side

Game recap

MetricTexasTennessee
Success rate0.3220.299
Explosiveness1.2001.090
Havoc0.2340.237
PPA-0.165-0.175
Field position67.20077.400

Passing

  • Faizon Brandon · Tennessee17/29 · 145 yds · 9.1 aDOT
  • Arch Manning · Texas14/19 · 201 yds · 11.7 aDOT
  • George MacIntyre · Tennessee1/3 · 6 yds · 5.0 aDOT

Win probability