No. 19 Missouri @ No. 24 Mississippi State
9/26/2026, 11:45:00 PM · SEC Network · 77° · Wind 0 mph · Fog · 24–31 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -1.5 → now -3.5 · total 58.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -3.5 | 58.5 |
| Bovada | -3.5 | 58.5 |
Mississippi State ML · Model 70% · Book 64% · value Mississippi State
Missouri travels 427 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Mississippi State -6.0OC Total 55.02.5 pts vs market
MissouriPower ratingsMississippi State
SP+Missouri by 8.2
14.2
6.0
FPIMissouri by 6.3
14.1
7.8
Elo (pts)Missouri by 10.5
11.4
0.8
COREMissouri by 10.8
19.8
9.0
WEPAMissouri by 5.7
8.7
3.0
SRSMissouri by 7.2
14.7
7.5
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Mississippi State's side
- 2025 · Mississippi State 27–49unpriced
- 2024 · Mississippi State 20–39unpriced
- 2020 · Mississippi State 51–32unpriced
- 2015 · Mississippi State 31–13unpriced
- 1984 · Mississippi State 30–47unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Missouri | Mississippi State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.442 | 0.443 |
| Explosiveness | 1.110 | 1.270 |
| Havoc | 0.139 | 0.273 |
| PPA | 0.118 | 0.161 |
| Field position | 65 | 76 |
Passing
- Austin Simmons · Missouri23/39 · 295 yds · 11.4 aDOT
- Kamario Taylor · Mississippi State27/38 · 360 yds · 8.1 aDOT
- Donovan Olugbode · Missouri0/1 · 0 yds · 11.0 aDOT