Option Country
← Week 4 board

No. 23 Texas A&M @ No. 10 LSU

9/26/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ABC · 82° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 6–35 F

Our pick Texas A&M +5.5Did not cover by 23.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -3.0 → now -8.5 · total 52.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-8.552.5
Bovada-8.552.0

LSU ML · Model 84% · Book 75% · value LSU

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Texas A&M +5.5OC Spread LSU -12.0OC Total 51.03.3 pts vs market
Texas A&MPower ratingsLSU
SP+LSU by 15.5
9.7
25.2
FPILSU by 10.9
13.8
24.7
Elo (pts)LSU by 8.6
9.1
17.7
CORELSU by 27.8
-0.2
27.6
WEPALSU by 16.2
1.9
18.2
SRSLSU by 16.0
9.9
25.9

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from LSU's side

  • 2025 · LSU 25–49unpriced
  • 2024 · LSU 23–38unpriced
  • 2023 · LSU 42–30unpriced
  • 2022 · LSU 23–38unpriced
  • 2021 · LSU 27–24unpriced

Game recap

MetricTexas A&MLSU
Success rate0.2980.477
Explosiveness1.1501.580
Havoc0.2270.298
PPA-0.1170.486
Field position74.80069.600

Passing

  • Marcel Reed · Texas A&M10/26 · 106 yds · 6.8 aDOT
  • Sam Leavitt · LSU17/23 · 312 yds · 9.3 aDOT
  • Landen Clark · LSU0/5 · 0 yds · 5.0 aDOT
  • Brady Hart · Texas A&M0/1 · 0 yds · 21.0 aDOT

Win probability