Option Country
← Week 4 board

No. 24 Oklahoma @ No. 2 Georgia

9/26/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ESPN · 83° · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy · 13–41 F

Our pick Georgia -11.5Covered by 16.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -10.0 → now -11.5 · total 44.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-11.543.5
Bovada-11.044.0

Georgia ML · Model 93% · Book 82% · value Georgia

Oklahoma travels 804 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Georgia -11.5OC Spread Georgia -18.0OC Total 46.57.0 pts vs market
OklahomaPower ratingsGeorgia
SP+Georgia by 16.8
10.3
27.1
FPIGeorgia by 13.4
12.1
25.4
Elo (pts)Georgia by 14.4
7.0
21.5
COREGeorgia by 12.7
10.1
22.8
WEPAGeorgia by 5.1
5.8
10.9
SRSGeorgia by 14.5
6.4
20.9

Head-to-head

Last 1: SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0 from Georgia's side

Game recap

MetricOklahomaGeorgia
Success rate0.3400.400
Explosiveness1.3200.680
Havoc0.2000.208
PPA0.082-0.164
Field position72.90062.500

Passing

  • John Mateer · Oklahoma25/34 · 231 yds · 6.3 aDOT
  • Gunner Stockton · Georgia14/25 · 188 yds · 12.0 aDOT
  • Ryan Puglisi · Georgia1/2 · 6 yds · 16.5 aDOT

Win probability