Tulsa @ Arkansas
9/27/2026, 12:00:00 AM · SECN+ · 72° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 6–34 F
Our pick Tulsa +7.0Did not cover by 21.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -8.5 → now -7.0 · total 51.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -7.0 | 51.5 |
| Bovada | -7.0 | 51.5 |
Arkansas ML · Model 76% · Book 70% · value Arkansas
Ratings matchup
Our pick Tulsa +7.0OC Spread Arkansas -8.0OC Total 52.01.2 pts vs market
TulsaPower ratingsArkansas
SP+Arkansas by 1.8
-2.2
-0.4
FPIArkansas by 4.8
-4.2
0.6
Elo (pts)Arkansas by 7.2
-8.0
-0.9
CORETulsa by 9.6
1.0
-8.7
WEPATulsa by 7.6
2.3
-5.3
SRSArkansas by 0.3
-1.7
-1.4
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from Arkansas's side
Game recap
| Metric | Tulsa | Arkansas |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.319 | 0.408 |
| Explosiveness | 0.650 | 1.170 |
| Havoc | 0.145 | 0.213 |
| PPA | -0.030 | 0.092 |
| Field position | 79.900 | 64.900 |
Passing
- KJ Jackson · Arkansas24/36 · 309 yds · 9.1 aDOT
- Dexter Williams II · Tulsa20/32 · 176 yds · 8.7 aDOT