South Carolina @ No. 8 Alabama
9/26/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ESPN · 80° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 18–49 F
Our pick Alabama -12.5Covered by 18.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -11.5 → now -12.5 · total 53.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -12.5 | 53.5 |
| Bovada | -12.5 | 53.5 |
Alabama ML · Model 93% · Book 80% · value Alabama
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Alabama -12.5OC Spread Alabama -17.5OC Total 56.05.2 pts vs market
South CarolinaPower ratingsAlabama
SP+Alabama by 9.9
11.0
20.9
FPIAlabama by 11.0
13.5
24.5
Elo (pts)Alabama by 7.8
9.8
17.6
COREAlabama by 15.1
11.4
26.5
WEPAAlabama by 9.3
7.4
16.6
SRSAlabama by 12.5
11.1
23.6
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from Alabama's side
Game recap
| Metric | South Carolina | Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.375 | 0.490 |
| Explosiveness | 1.360 | 1.690 |
| Havoc | 0.163 | 0.141 |
| PPA | 0.058 | 0.506 |
| Field position | 78.400 | 68.700 |
Passing
- Lanorris Sellers · South Carolina18/30 · 172 yds · 7.0 aDOT
- Keelon Russell · Alabama21/27 · 365 yds · 12.1 aDOT
- Cutter Woods · South Carolina2/3 · 18 yds · 6.0 aDOT