Kentucky @ No. 9 Texas A&M
9/19/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ESPN · 95° · Wind 2 mph · Fair · 31–21 F
Our pick Texas A&M -15.5Did not cover by 25.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -15.5 → now -16.5 · total 49.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -16.5 | 49.5 |
| Bovada | -16.5 | 48.5 |
| Draft Kings | -16.5 | 48.5 |
Texas A&M ML · Model 87% · Book 85%
Kentucky travels 846 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick Texas A&M -15.5OC Spread Texas A&M -13.0OC Total 52.03.4 pts vs market
KentuckyPower ratingsTexas A&M
SP+Kentucky by 0.9
10.6
9.7
FPITexas A&M by 0.8
13.0
13.8
Elo (pts)Texas A&M by 3.8
5.4
9.1
COREKentucky by 13.3
13.1
-0.2
WEPAKentucky by 7.2
9.1
1.9
SRSKentucky by 5.1
15.0
9.9
Head-to-head
Last 3: SU 2-1 · ATS 0-0 from Texas A&M's side
Game recap
| Metric | Kentucky | Texas A&M |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.527 | 0.424 |
| Explosiveness | 1.360 | 1.160 |
| Havoc | 0.141 | 0.073 |
| PPA | 0.455 | -0.051 |
| Field position | 68.100 | 74.600 |
Passing
- Marcel Reed · Texas A&M26/49 · 236 yds · 9.5 aDOT
- Kenny Minchey · Kentucky14/18 · 252 yds · 7.7 aDOT