Option Country
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Kennesaw State @ No. 15 Tennessee

9/19/2026, 11:45:00 PM · SEC Network · 79° · Wind 0 mph · Rain Shower · 9–42 F

Our pick Kennesaw State +34.5Covered by 1.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -34.5 → now -35.5 · total 60.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-35.560.5
Bovada-35.561.0
Draft Kings-35.560.5

Tennessee ML · Model 99% · Book 96%

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Kennesaw State +34.5OC Spread Tennessee -33.5OC Total 56.52.1 pts vs market
Kennesaw StatePower ratingsTennessee
SP+Tennessee by 31.7
-13.8
17.9
FPITennessee by 28.9
-12.2
16.7
Elo (pts)Tennessee by 21.4
-8.3
13.2
CORETennessee by 25.8
-10.5
15.3
WEPATennessee by 13.6
-4.2
9.4
SRSTennessee by 26.8
-10.2
16.6

Game recap

MetricKennesaw StateTennessee
Success rate0.3080.554
Explosiveness0.9001
Havoc0.0890.231
PPA-0.0490.401
Field position77.30067.100

Passing

  • Rickie Collins · Kennesaw State22/34 · 189 yds · 5.5 aDOT
  • Faizon Brandon · Tennessee18/26 · 178 yds · 9.3 aDOT

Win probability