Mississippi State @ South Carolina
9/19/2026, 8:15:00 PM · SEC Network · 88° · Wind 3 mph · Thunderstorm · 41–34 F
Our pick South Carolina -3.5Did not cover by 10.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -7.5 → now -3.0 · total 59.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -3.0 | 59.5 |
| Bovada | -3.0 | 59.0 |
| Draft Kings | -3.0 | 59.5 |
South Carolina ML · Model 56% · Book 60%
Mississippi State travels 448 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick South Carolina -3.5OC Spread South Carolina -2.0OC Total 55.01.2 pts vs market
Mississippi StatePower ratingsSouth Carolina
SP+South Carolina by 5.0
6.0
11.0
FPISouth Carolina by 5.7
7.8
13.5
Elo (pts)South Carolina by 9.0
0.8
9.8
CORESouth Carolina by 2.4
9.0
11.4
WEPASouth Carolina by 4.4
3.0
7.4
SRSSouth Carolina by 3.6
7.5
11.1
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from South Carolina's side
- 2023 · South Carolina 37–30unpriced
- 2016 · South Carolina 14–27unpriced
- 2013 · South Carolina 34–16unpriced
- 2011 · South Carolina 14–12unpriced
- 2007 · South Carolina 38–21unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Mississippi State | South Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.429 | 0.380 |
| Explosiveness | 1.480 | 1.300 |
| Havoc | 0.165 | 0.127 |
| PPA | 0.270 | 0.124 |
| Field position | 62.300 | 71.900 |
Passing
- Lanorris Sellers · South Carolina25/40 · 282 yds · 8.0 aDOT
- Kamario Taylor · Mississippi State18/26 · 251 yds · 9.2 aDOT
- Gracen Harris · Mississippi State1/1 · 7 yds · 7.0 aDOT