New Mexico @ No. 24 Oklahoma
9/19/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ESPN2 · 93° · Wind 8 mph · Cloudy · 6–14 F
Our pick New Mexico +23.5Covered by 15.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -23.5 → now -21.5 · total 45.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -21.5 | 45.5 |
| Bovada | -21.0 | 45.5 |
| Draft Kings | -21.5 | 45.5 |
Oklahoma ML · Model 90% · Book 92%
New Mexico travels 519 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick New Mexico +23.5OC Spread Oklahoma -15.5OC Total 46.05.9 pts vs market
New MexicoPower ratingsOklahoma
SP+Oklahoma by 1.0
9.3
10.3
FPIOklahoma by 5.9
6.2
12.1
Elo (pts)Oklahoma by 0.4
6.7
7.0
CORENew Mexico by 1.9
12.0
10.1
WEPANew Mexico by 1.6
7.3
5.8
SRSOklahoma by 0.8
5.6
6.4
Head-to-head
Last 2: SU 2-0 · ATS 0-0 from Oklahoma's side
Game recap
| Metric | New Mexico | Oklahoma |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.228 | 0.344 |
| Explosiveness | 1.510 | 1.380 |
| Havoc | 0.180 | 0.228 |
| PPA | -0.234 | -0.083 |
| Field position | 59.800 | 78 |
Passing
- John Mateer · Oklahoma19/26 · 238 yds · 7.6 aDOT
- Toa Faavae · New Mexico4/10 · 79 yds · 10.4 aDOT
- Luke Moga · New Mexico4/8 · 37 yds · 4.6 aDOT
- James Laubstein · New Mexico0/1 · 0 yds · 5.0 aDOT