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Troy @ No. 20 Missouri

9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM · SECN+ · 88° · Wind 2 mph · Cloudy · 17–27 F

Our pick Troy +27.0Covered by 17.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open -27.5 → now -27.0 · total 49.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada-27.050.0
DraftKings-27.549.5
Draft Kings-26.549.5

Missouri ML · Model 95% · Book 94%

Troy travels 610 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Troy +27.0OC Spread Missouri -21.0OC Total 49.56.0 pts vs market
TroyPower ratingsMissouri
SP+Missouri by 24.1
-9.9
14.2
FPIMissouri by 23.3
-9.2
14.1
Elo (pts)Missouri by 17.2
-5.8
11.4
COREMissouri by 29.4
-9.6
19.8
WEPAMissouri by 13.9
-5.1
8.7
SRSMissouri by 28.4
-13.7
14.7

Head-to-head

Last 4: SU 3-1 · ATS 0-0 from Missouri's side

Game recap

Passing

  • Will Crowder · Troy18/32 · 230 yds · 7.2 aDOT
  • Austin Simmons · Missouri10/19 · 91 yds · 9.1 aDOT

Win probability