Option Country
← Week 3 board

Florida State @ No. 10 Alabama

9/19/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ABC · 96° · Wind 5 mph · Fair · 36–50 F

Line movement

Home spread. Open -15.5 → now -18.5 · total 50.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-18.549.5
Bovada-18.550.0
Draft Kings-18.550.5

Alabama ML · Model 92% · Book 89%

Florida State +4 days rest

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

OC Spread Alabama -17.0OC Total 52.01.4 pts vs market
Florida StatePower ratingsAlabama
SP+Alabama by 15.1
5.8
20.9
FPIAlabama by 16.6
8.0
24.5
Elo (pts)Alabama by 14.6
3.0
17.6
COREAlabama by 29.2
-2.7
26.5
WEPAAlabama by 16.3
0.3
16.6
SRSAlabama by 20.3
3.3
23.6

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 2-2 · ATS 0-0 from Alabama's side

Game recap

Passing

  • Keelon Russell · Alabama24/31 · 325 yds · 8.3 aDOT
  • Ashton Daniels · Florida State17/29 · 377 yds · 14.7 aDOT

Win probability