Option Country
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Arizona State @ No. 10 Texas A&M

9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ABC · 91° · Wind 8 mph · Clear · 20–48 F

Our pick Texas A&M -15.0Covered by 13.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open -14.5 → now -15.5 · total 51.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-15.551.5
Bovada-15.051.5

Texas A&M ML · Model 95% · Book 84% · value Texas A&M

Arizona State travels 933 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Texas A&M -15.0OC Spread Texas A&M -20.0OC Total 52.55.1 pts vs market
Arizona StatePower ratingsTexas A&M
SP+Texas A&M by 7.4
2.3
9.7
FPITexas A&M by 12.4
1.4
13.8
Elo (pts)Texas A&M by 10.2
-1.0
9.1
CORETexas A&M by 1.1
-1.2
-0.2
WEPATexas A&M by 5.8
-3.9
1.9
SRSTexas A&M by 9.7
0.2
9.9

Head-to-head

Last 1: SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0 from Texas A&M's side

Game recap

MetricArizona StateTexas A&M
Success rate0.3670.386
Explosiveness1.4001.040
Havoc0.1750.233
PPA-0.0160.127
Field position71.10057.900

Passing

  • Cutter Boley · Arizona State21/33 · 254 yds · 6.7 aDOT
  • Marcel Reed · Texas A&M15/25 · 163 yds · 8.7 aDOT

Win probability