No. 1 Ohio State @ No. 4 Texas
9/12/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ABC · 95° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 23–24 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -1.5 → now -2.5 · total 51.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -2.5 | 50.5 |
| Bovada | -2.0 | 51.0 |
Texas ML · Model 53% · Book 37% · value Texas
Ohio State travels 1066 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Texas
26
OC Spread Texas -1.0OC Total 51.51.5 pts vs market
Ohio StatePower ratingsTexas
SP+Ohio State by 8.2
28.6
20.4
FPIOhio State by 2.3
26.2
24.0
Elo (pts)Ohio State by 3.3
20.8
17.4
COREOhio State by 14.3
23.3
9.0
WEPAOhio State by 6.6
15.2
8.5
SRSTexas by 2.2
18.7
20.9
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Texas's side
Game recap
| Metric | Ohio State | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.391 | 0.487 |
| Explosiveness | 1.340 | 1.030 |
| Havoc | 0.154 | 0.141 |
| PPA | 0.155 | 0.168 |
| Field position | 64.200 | 78.700 |
Passing
- Arch Manning · Texas23/37 · 195 yds · 7.7 aDOT
- Julian Sayin · Ohio State17/32 · 278 yds · 11.3 aDOT