No. 1 Ohio State @ No. 4 Texas
9/12/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ABC · 95° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 23–24 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -1.5 → now -2.5 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -2.5 | 50.5 |
| Bovada | -2.0 | 51.0 |
| Draft Kings | -2.5 | 50.5 |
Texas ML · Model 53% · Book 37% · value Texas
Ohio State travels 1066 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Texas
26
OC Spread Texas -1.0OC Total 51.51.5 pts vs market
Ohio StatePower ratingsTexas
SP+Ohio State by 4.2
29.2
25.0
FPIOhio State by 0.3
30.4
30.1
Elo (pts)Ohio State by 2.7
19.3
16.6
COREOhio State by 7.7
16.8
9.1
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Texas's side
Game recap
| Metric | Ohio State | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.391 | 0.487 |
| Explosiveness | 1.340 | 1.030 |
| Havoc | 0.154 | 0.141 |
| PPA | 0.155 | 0.168 |
| Field position | 64.200 | 78.700 |
Passing
- Arch Manning · Texas23/37 · 195 yds · 7.7 aDOT
- Julian Sayin · Ohio State17/32 · 278 yds · 11.3 aDOT