No. 11 Oklahoma @ No. 16 Michigan
9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM · FOX · 77° · Wind 8 mph · Heavy Rain · 10–17 F
Our pick Michigan +5.0Covered by 12.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -2.0 → now +5.0 · total 43.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +5.5 | 43.5 |
| Bovada | +4.5 | 43.5 |
| Draft Kings | +5.5 | 43.5 |
Michigan ML · Model 45% · Book 35% · value Michigan
Oklahoma travels 883 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick Michigan +5.0OC Spread Michigan +1.5OC Total 46.03.6 pts vs market
OklahomaPower ratingsMichigan
SP+Oklahoma by 5.4
19.2
13.8
FPIOklahoma by 3.4
17.8
14.4
Elo (pts)Oklahoma by 3.2
11.3
8.1
COREOklahoma by 1.3
8.0
6.7
Head-to-head
Last 2: SU 0-2 · ATS 0-0 from Michigan's side
Game recap
| Metric | Oklahoma | Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.359 | 0.276 |
| Explosiveness | 1.010 | 1.630 |
| Havoc | 0.207 | 0.188 |
| PPA | 0.003 | 0.033 |
| Field position | 81.500 | 70.100 |
Passing
- John Mateer · Oklahoma17/33 · 189 yds · 8.3 aDOT
- Bryce Underwood · Michigan9/17 · 111 yds · 8.1 aDOT