No. 11 Oklahoma @ No. 16 Michigan
9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM · FOX · 77° · Wind 8 mph · Heavy Rain · 10–17 F
Our pick Michigan +5.0Covered by 12.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -2.0 → now +5.0 · total 43.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +5.5 | 43.5 |
| Bovada | +4.5 | 43.5 |
Michigan ML · Model 45% · Book 35% · value Michigan
Oklahoma travels 883 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick Michigan +5.0OC Spread Michigan +1.5OC Total 46.03.6 pts vs market
OklahomaPower ratingsMichigan
SP+Michigan by 1.2
10.3
11.5
FPIOklahoma by 1.3
12.1
10.7
Elo (pts)Michigan by 1.8
7.0
8.8
COREMichigan by 1.9
10.1
12.1
WEPAMichigan by 0.1
5.8
5.8
SRSOklahoma by 1.4
6.4
5.0
Head-to-head
Last 2: SU 0-2 · ATS 0-0 from Michigan's side
Game recap
| Metric | Oklahoma | Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.359 | 0.276 |
| Explosiveness | 1.010 | 1.630 |
| Havoc | 0.207 | 0.188 |
| PPA | 0.003 | 0.033 |
| Field position | 81.500 | 70.100 |
Passing
- John Mateer · Oklahoma17/33 · 189 yds · 8.3 aDOT
- Bryce Underwood · Michigan9/17 · 111 yds · 8.1 aDOT