Western Kentucky @ No. 2 Georgia
9/12/2026, 4:45:00 PM · SEC Network · 78° · Wind 2 mph · Heavy Rain · 20–70 F
Our pick Georgia -40.5Covered by 9.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -35.5 → now -40.5 · total 56.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -40.5 | 55.5 |
| Bovada | -40.0 | 56.0 |
Georgia ML · Model 100%
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Georgia -40.5OC Spread Georgia -44.0OC Total 55.53.6 pts vs market
Western KentuckyPower ratingsGeorgia
SP+Georgia by 38.6
-11.5
27.1
FPIGeorgia by 39.4
-13.9
25.4
Elo (pts)Georgia by 31.6
-10.1
21.5
COREGeorgia by 41.5
-18.6
22.8
WEPAGeorgia by 22.3
-11.4
10.9
SRSGeorgia by 35.0
-14.1
20.9
Head-to-head
Last 1: SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0 from Georgia's side
- 2006 · Georgia 48–12unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Western Kentucky | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.222 | 0.731 |
| Explosiveness | 1.820 | 1.760 |
| Havoc | 0.346 | 0.593 |
| PPA | -0.119 | 1.170 |
| Field position | 66.200 | 64.800 |
Passing
- Brock Glenn · Western Kentucky12/22 · 84 yds · 4.4 aDOT
- Gunner Stockton · Georgia13/16 · 234 yds · 8.8 aDOT
- Rodney Tisdale Jr. · Western Kentucky6/14 · 31 yds · 8.8 aDOT
- Ryan Puglisi · Georgia2/5 · 19 yds · 2.4 aDOT