Southern Miss @ Auburn
9/12/2026, 11:45:00 PM · SEC Network · 80° · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy · 8–43 F
Our pick Southern Miss +29.5Did not cover by 5.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -29.5 → now -32.5 · total 56.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -32.5 | 56.5 |
| Bovada | -33.0 | 57.0 |
| Draft Kings | -32.5 | 56.5 |
Auburn ML · Model 98% · Book 97%
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Southern Miss +29.5OC Spread Auburn -26.5OC Total 50.56.2 pts vs market
Southern MissPower ratingsAuburn
SP+Auburn by 27.9
-16.2
11.7
FPIAuburn by 21.3
-7.1
14.2
Elo (pts)Auburn by 15.7
-8.6
7.1
COREAuburn by 12.7
-5.0
7.7
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from Auburn's side
Game recap
| Metric | Southern Miss | Auburn |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.364 | 0.522 |
| Explosiveness | 0.890 | 1.190 |
| Havoc | 0.101 | 0.250 |
| PPA | -0.148 | 0.333 |
| Field position | 79.800 | 70.900 |
Passing
- Byrum Brown · Auburn18/29 · 226 yds · 10.9 aDOT
- Ethan Hampton · Southern Miss18/27 · 146 yds · 3.4 aDOT
- Landy Lyddy · Southern Miss4/6 · 25 yds · 5.7 aDOT
- Tristan Ti'a · Auburn2/4 · 39 yds · 7.3 aDOT