Option Country
← Week 2 board

Arkansas @ No. 20 Utah

9/13/2026, 2:15:00 AM · ESPN · 81° · Wind 2 mph · Fair · 10–43 F

Our pick Utah -13.0Covered by 20.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open -9.5 → now -13.0 · total 55.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-13.555.5
Bovada-12.555.5

Utah ML · Model 93% · Book 80% · value Utah

Arkansas travels 1008 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Utah -13.0OC Spread Utah -18.0OC Total 58.55.3 pts vs market
ArkansasPower ratingsUtah
SP+Utah by 18.4
-0.4
18.0
FPIUtah by 17.8
0.6
18.4
Elo (pts)Utah by 17.6
-0.9
16.8
COREUtah by 30.8
-8.7
22.1
WEPAUtah by 17.1
-5.3
11.8
SRSUtah by 22.9
-1.4
21.5

Game recap

MetricArkansasUtah
Success rate0.3020.611
Explosiveness1.5101.460
Havoc0.1940.488
PPA0.0620.663
Field position76.10063.300

Passing

  • KJ Jackson · Arkansas14/34 · 139 yds · 9.1 aDOT
  • Devon Dampier · Utah18/24 · 261 yds · 8.3 aDOT
  • AJ Hill · Arkansas8/14 · 105 yds · 11.1 aDOT
  • Byrd Ficklin · Utah2/4 · 40 yds · 10.3 aDOT

Win probability