Missouri State @ No. 8 Texas A&M
9/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ESPN · 86° · Wind 9 mph · Rain · 0–50 F
Our pick Texas A&M -39.0Covered by 11.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -41.0 → now -39.5 · total 53.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -40.5 | 53.5 |
| DraftKings | -38.5 | 53.5 |
Texas A&M ML · Model 100%
Missouri State off a byeTexas A&M off a byeMissouri State travels 488 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Texas A&M -39.0OC Spread Texas A&M -31.5OC Total 52.58.0 pts vs market
Win probability
Missouri State 0%Texas A&M 100%
Missouri StatePower ratingsTexas A&M
SP+Texas A&M by 26.6
-16.9
9.7
FPITexas A&M by 28.6
-14.8
13.8
Elo (pts)Texas A&M by 20.0
-10.9
9.1
CORETexas A&M by 19.2
-19.4
-0.2
WEPATexas A&M by 15.4
-13.5
1.9
SRSTexas A&M by 23.9
-14.0
9.9
Game recap
| Metric | Missouri State | Texas A&M |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.160 | 0.552 |
| Explosiveness | 0.670 | 1.080 |
| Havoc | 0.179 | 0.480 |
| PPA | -0.292 | 0.277 |
| Field position | 75.100 | 58.100 |
Passing
- Marcel Reed · Texas A&M21/30 · 233 yds · 8.4 aDOT
- Skyler Locklear · Missouri State8/17 · 30 yds · 7.2 aDOT
- Brady Hart · Texas A&M4/8 · 36 yds · 12.7 aDOT