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UTEP @ No. 10 Oklahoma

9/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM · SECN+ · 93° · Wind 7 mph · Fair · 051 F

Our pick Oklahoma -40.5Covered by 10.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -41.0 → now -40.5 · total 51.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Draft Kings-40.551.5
Bovada-41.051.0
DraftKings-40.551.5

Oklahoma ML · Model 100%

UTEP off a byeOklahoma off a byeUTEP +21 days restUTEP travels 573 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Oklahoma -40.5OC Spread Oklahoma -42.0OC Total 48.01.3 pts vs market

Win probability

UTEP 0%Oklahoma 100%
UTEPPower ratingsOklahoma
SP+Oklahoma by 35.4
-16.2
19.2
FPIOklahoma by 35.0
-17.2
17.8
Elo (pts)Oklahoma by 25.6
-14.3
11.3
COREOklahoma by 15.3
-7.4
8.0

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from Oklahoma's side

Game recap

MetricUTEPOklahoma
Success rate0.3780.545
Explosiveness0.8701.420
Havoc0.2120.419
PPA-0.3070.508
Field position69.90057.400

Passing

  • John Mateer · Oklahoma12/18 · 237 yds · 12.4 aDOT
  • EJ Colson · UTEP6/12 · 52 yds · 11.3 aDOT
  • Raymond Moore III · UTEP3/5 · 26 yds · 11.0 aDOT
  • Jaden Smith · UTEP1/1 · 8 yds · 8.0 aDOT

Win probability