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UTEP @ No. 10 Oklahoma

9/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM · SECN+ · 93° · Wind 7 mph · Fair · 0–51 F

Our pick Oklahoma -40.5Covered by 10.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -41.0 → now -41.0 · total 51.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada-41.051.0
DraftKings-40.551.5

Oklahoma ML · Model 100%

UTEP off a byeOklahoma off a byeUTEP +21 days restUTEP travels 573 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Oklahoma -40.5OC Spread Oklahoma -39.5OC Total 44.01.1 pts vs market

Win probability

UTEP 0%Oklahoma 100%
UTEPPower ratingsOklahoma
SP+Oklahoma by 34.8
-24.5
10.3
FPIOklahoma by 36.7
-24.6
12.1
Elo (pts)Oklahoma by 27.2
-20.2
7.0
COREOklahoma by 36.5
-26.4
10.1
WEPAOklahoma by 24.0
-18.2
5.8
SRSOklahoma by 28.0
-21.6
6.4

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from Oklahoma's side

Game recap

MetricUTEPOklahoma
Success rate0.3780.545
Explosiveness0.8701.420
Havoc0.2120.419
PPA-0.3070.508
Field position69.90057.400

Passing

  • John Mateer · Oklahoma12/18 · 237 yds · 12.4 aDOT
  • EJ Colson · UTEP6/12 · 52 yds · 11.3 aDOT
  • Raymond Moore III · UTEP3/5 · 26 yds · 11.0 aDOT
  • Jaden Smith · UTEP1/1 · 8 yds · 8.0 aDOT

Win probability