No. 23 Clemson @ No. 11 LSU
9/5/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ABC · 79° · Wind 5 mph · Rain Shower · 10–51 F
Our pick LSU -10.0Covered by 31.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -10.5 → now -10.0 · total 49.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -10.0 | 50.0 |
| DraftKings | -10.0 | 48.5 |
LSU ML · Model 77% · Book 78%
Clemson off a byeLSU off a byeClemson travels 568 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick LSU -10.0OC Spread LSU -22.0OC Total 47.011.8 pts vs market
Win probability
Clemson 23%LSU 77%
ClemsonPower ratingsLSU
SP+LSU by 20.5
4.7
25.2
FPILSU by 17.6
7.1
24.7
Elo (pts)LSU by 15.1
2.6
17.7
CORELSU by 28.4
-0.7
27.6
WEPALSU by 20.5
-2.4
18.2
SRSLSU by 21.1
4.8
25.9
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from LSU's side
Game recap
| Metric | Clemson | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.129 | 0.532 |
| Explosiveness | 0.990 | 1.240 |
| Havoc | 0.161 | 0.452 |
| PPA | -0.492 | 0.376 |
| Field position | 74 | 72.900 |
Passing
- Sam Leavitt · LSU16/29 · 230 yds · 10.1 aDOT
- Christopher Vizzina · Clemson10/16 · 83 yds · 6.0 aDOT
- Landen Clark · LSU5/7 · 72 yds · 7.4 aDOT
- Tait Reynolds · Clemson4/6 · 22 yds · 7.7 aDOT