Option Country
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No. 23 Clemson @ No. 11 LSU

9/5/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ABC · 79° · Wind 5 mph · Rain Shower · 1051 F

Our pick LSU -10.0Covered by 31.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open -10.5 → now -10.0 · total 49.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada-10.050.0
Draft Kings-10.048.5
DraftKings-10.048.5

LSU ML · Model 77% · Book 78%

Clemson off a byeLSU off a byeClemson travels 568 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick LSU -10.0OC Spread LSU -20.0OC Total 47.010.2 pts vs market

Win probability

Clemson 23%LSU 77%
ClemsonPower ratingsLSU
SP+LSU by 16.0
8.1
24.1
FPILSU by 17.3
5.3
22.6
Elo (pts)LSU by 9.4
2.3
11.8
CORELSU by 17.5
-2.2
15.3

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from LSU's side

  • 2025 · LSU 1710unpriced
  • 2019 · LSU 4225unpriced
  • 2012 · LSU 2425unpriced
  • 1996 · LSU 107unpriced
  • 1958 · LSU 70unpriced

Game recap

MetricClemsonLSU
Success rate0.1290.532
Explosiveness0.9901.240
Havoc0.1610.452
PPA-0.4920.376
Field position7472.900

Passing

  • Sam Leavitt · LSU16/29 · 230 yds · 10.1 aDOT
  • Christopher Vizzina · Clemson10/16 · 83 yds · 6.0 aDOT
  • Landen Clark · LSU5/7 · 72 yds · 7.4 aDOT
  • Tait Reynolds · Clemson4/6 · 22 yds · 7.7 aDOT

Win probability