Florida Atlantic @ Florida
9/5/2026, 11:45:00 PM · SEC Network · 81° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 21–66 F
Our pick Florida -26.0Covered by 19.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -27.0 → now -26.5 · total 59.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -26.5 | 59.5 |
| DraftKings | -26.5 | 59.5 |
Florida ML · Model 97% · Book 93%
Florida Atlantic off a byeFlorida off a bye
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Florida -26.0OC Spread Florida -23.5OC Total 60.52.9 pts vs market
Win probability
Florida Atlantic 3%Florida 97%
Florida AtlanticPower ratingsFlorida
SP+Florida by 14.0
-3.4
10.6
FPIFlorida by 24.5
-10.7
13.9
Elo (pts)Florida by 15.1
-9.9
5.2
COREFlorida by 18.9
-9.6
9.3
WEPAFlorida by 14.3
-6.2
8.1
SRSFlorida by 20.5
-7.1
13.4
Head-to-head
Last 4: SU 4-0 · ATS 0-0 from Florida's side
Game recap
| Metric | Florida Atlantic | Florida |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.400 | 0.575 |
| Explosiveness | 1.270 | 1.560 |
| Havoc | 0.175 | 0.283 |
| PPA | 0.158 | 0.644 |
| Field position | 75.100 | 69.400 |
Passing
- Caden Veltkamp · Florida Atlantic34/52 · 276 yds · 6.9 aDOT
- Aaron Philo · Florida16/21 · 275 yds · 8.3 aDOT
- Tramell Jones Jr. · Florida4/5 · 68 yds · 8.4 aDOT
- Easton Messer · Florida Atlantic0/1 · 0 yds · 0.0 aDOT