Baylor vs Auburn
9/5/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ABC · Indoors · 16–17 F
Our pick Baylor +6.5Covered by 5.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -7.0 → now -6.5 · total 58.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -6.5 | 58.5 |
| DraftKings | -6.5 | 58.5 |
Auburn ML · Model 69% · Book 70%
Baylor off a byeAuburn off a bye
Ratings matchup
Our pick Baylor +6.5OC Spread Auburn -1.0OC Total 47.55.4 pts vs market
Win probability
Baylor 31%Auburn 69%
BaylorPower ratingsAuburn
SP+Baylor by 2.0
8.5
6.5
FPIBaylor by 1.6
11.2
9.6
Elo (pts)Baylor by 2.7
7.5
4.8
COREBaylor by 8.6
12.9
4.3
WEPABaylor by 5.4
10.0
4.5
SRSBaylor by 3.1
11.1
8.0
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-2 · ATS 0-0 from Auburn's side
Game recap
| Metric | Baylor | Auburn |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.386 | 0.392 |
| Explosiveness | 1.230 | 1.130 |
| Havoc | 0.243 | 0.198 |
| PPA | 0.054 | 0.030 |
| Field position | 75.500 | 72.300 |
Passing
- D.J. Lagway · Baylor27/54 · 333 yds · 10.5 aDOT
- Byrum Brown · Auburn26/35 · 274 yds · 7.3 aDOT