Baylor vs Auburn
9/5/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ABC · Indoors · 16–17 F
Our pick Baylor +6.5Covered by 5.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -7.0 → now -6.5 · total 58.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -6.5 | 58.5 |
| Bovada | -6.5 | 58.5 |
| Draft Kings | -6.5 | 58.5 |
Auburn ML · Model 69% · Book 70%
Baylor off a byeAuburn off a bye
Ratings matchup
Our pick Baylor +6.5OC Spread Auburn -4.5OC Total 51.02.0 pts vs market
Win probability
Baylor 31%Auburn 69%
BaylorPower ratingsAuburn
SP+Auburn by 4.3
7.4
11.7
FPIAuburn by 6.0
8.2
14.2
Elo (pts)Auburn by 6.8
0.4
7.1
COREAuburn by 4.3
3.5
7.7
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-2 · ATS 0-0 from Auburn's side
Game recap
| Metric | Baylor | Auburn |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.386 | 0.392 |
| Explosiveness | 1.230 | 1.130 |
| Havoc | 0.243 | 0.198 |
| PPA | 0.054 | 0.030 |
| Field position | 75.500 | 72.300 |
Passing
- D.J. Lagway · Baylor27/54 · 333 yds · 10.5 aDOT
- Byrum Brown · Auburn26/35 · 274 yds · 7.3 aDOT